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Electoral Choices in Mature and Consolidating European Democracies

TitleElectoral Choices in Mature and Consolidating European Democracies
Publication TypeConference Paper
Year of Publication2013
AuthorsSchmitt, Hermann, and Angelika Scheuer
Conference Name2nd European Conference on Comparative Electoral Research

This article is about the context dependence of the vote function. While this expression was first coined in the study of aggregate election results (e.g. Goodhhart & Bhansali 1970; Kramer 1971), we are interested in the choices that individual citizens make in national legislative elections. The general question which we are trying to answer is the following: are the determinants of vote choices of citizens dependent on the socio-political environment in which they are operating? The analytical instruments that we will utilise are hardly breath-taking. They are derived from the Michigan funnel of causality in which social background factors are going first in predicting the vote, partisanship comes second, and short-term factors like issues and candidates are coming last. Given the profound and lasting differences in party alignments of citizens in our two groups of countries (measured at the aggregate level), we expect to find systematic differences in the vote function of individual citizens for these two groups of countries too.

Electoral choices in mature and consolidating democracies.pdf715.98 KB